The NZD/USD has become my personal favorite currency pair to watch over the past couple of weeks and it continued to bring excitement last week.
Although the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised interest rates for the fourth consecutive month last Wednesday evening, Governor Wheeler used his post interest rate speech to encourage the NZD/USD to plummet by the most it had experienced in six months. Wheeler signaled that after four successive interest rate hikes, there would now be a pause in monetary tightening. Additionally, Wheeler expressed that the current value of the New Zealand Dollar was both unjustifiable and unsustainable. As a result, the NZD/USD declined by over 100 pips on Wednesday evening.
This week, there are a lack of New Zealand economic releases and after Governor Wheelers comments last week, the NZD/USD will likely continue to experience some bearish movement.
However, both the Stochastic Oscillator and RSI are now located around the oversold boundaries and looking at Thursday’s and Friday’s smaller sized candlesticks, it does appear that the heavy selling period could be coming to a conclusion. If the NZD/USD does continue to decline in valuation, support levels are located at 0.8522 and 0.8501.
Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and ideas and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime Ltd, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice